10 Ways to Tell a Sports Handicapping Service is Dishonest

10 Ways to Tell a Sports Handicapping Service is Dishonest

The beginning of football season is a sign of two things. First, Luckily, shady betting services for sports are not difficult to identify. Actually they make it too simple.

If the Handicapper(s) employs a Pseudonym

Any professional who is successful in his profession must be willing to use his real name in every one the business transactions. This is particularly true in situations where your precious money is involved. Some handicappers might use a catchy name to promote their business but that’s fine. We all have an official initial as well as final name. Any person who is honest about what is their job ought to be open to being recognized publicly. FIRST and last name. I’ve had discussions about this issue with a few full-time salespeople who claim they are using pseudonyms in order to avoid legal issues or to protect their privacy. I’d call this”bullshit. If you’re not proud in the work you do to earn your livelihood, or you’re uneasy about your customers knowing who you are that’s why you shouldn’t even be in business. What do you think? Do you seek advice on finances from someone who hasn’t used his (or his or her) real name and instead uses the fake name? No, of course it wouldn’t. The same applies to any person you trust to offer tips on sports picks free.

Handicappers Using Phoney Academic Credentials

Over the years , I’ve seen that many of the scumbag handicappers employ “Doctor” or “Professor” or any other prestigious name in their titles. This is acceptable if they had real academic credentials, particularly in areas like psychology, statistics or any other field associated with sports betting. The truth is that the above “doctors” and “professors” are frauds. They’re liars. In the past, a scam-capper known as “Dr.” Ed Horowitz was discovered to be addicted to cocaine and identified as a felon. In the last few months, “Dr. Bob,” a college graduate who was a star on the betting world of sports in the past decade when he was on an (perhaps random) run of hot streaks that caught the media’s attention and hasn’t earned a doctorate in any field. He’s still there and mostly cherry-picking hot steaks from an ocean of subpar. Be wary of who you can trust. Academic degrees shouldn’t be passed around with the intention to create false credibility in order to deceive people. Academic qualifications should be legitimately earned. The sports advisory services is currently offering doctors or professors who are full-time handicappers. It is possible that they exist, and, if they do they should upload a copy of the doctorate on the site.

Living a High-Roller Lifestyle

There are genuine handicappers and honest sports agencies that earn a living by studying games, and then offering the picks or even betting on the predictions themselves. Each one invests huge amounts of time. This is especially true of genuine sports organizations that truly really take care of their customers as they are a rare and insignificant. If you are seeing ads (or more ominously, “reality television” shows or videos) that feature douchebags wearing expensive cars, surrounded by beautiful women, or fawning huge sums of money — you should run the other way. They’re all scams. Shit stain. Scum. Each and every one of them. The truth is that real handicappers of sports picks of the day draw attention to their own. They don’t throw around $100 bills as confetti and don’t go to Las Vegas nightclubs. Professional sports handicappers work their a**es off, because that’s the only way to succeed in this industry. Yes, I would like the scams to be identified and thrown out of the market because they not just steal from their victims and make handicappers who are legitimate look bad.

Touting Only Recent Win-Loss Results / Shaving Results

This is an alarming sign that says fraud. We see it often in print ads, particularly as well as all over social media sites, such as Twitter as well as Facebook. “We went 8-2 our last 10 plays! Sign up today !” The service then claims that they won 8-2. What’s that? I could flip a coin, and it could come up with two tails and 8 heads (there’s a chance of 3 percent of this happening if you flip the coin ten times now). Why do they boast about the latest 10 picks? Was there any change to prior 20 picks? What about the 50th pick? You’re absolutely sure that If that service enjoyed a more prolonged win streak, it would have been boasting about the fact that they had. The fact is that the service could have been 2-8 during the week prior and then ended up with a record of 10-10 overall. If you don’t include the standard 10 percent vig and the subscription fee for the service and you’re on the way to becoming broke. Everything is important when it comes to sports betting is the long run. A single day, a month, even a month is hardly worth anything. If a company is unable to offer a valid W-L report for a longer period (at at least one year, and, ideally, several years) They should be avoided regardless of any assertions they may make. Another suggestion: A reliable service shouldn’t be required to continually boast about themselves. the winners are self-evident.

Failure to Post Comprehensive Win-Loss Record

This is a reference to the red flag that was previously raised. Every handicapper should publicly post their full W-L (and/or + units gained) results. This is simple for websites to accomplish. All games should be archived to ensure that potential customers and clients can view what the handicapper did. Be aware, however, since a number of sports agencies have been found “scrubbing” their dirty records. The unscrupulous companies appear to keep an up-to-date list of all bets that are recommended however, they return after a couple of weeks or months laterat a time when nobody remembers the picks that lost. They then scrub away the losses. Eliminating 10 losses from 100 choices can make a coin-flipping handicapper who is 50-50 appear like a genius as the fake record would be scoring 56 percent winners. One of the best ways to tell if a service is trustworthy as well is to check closely for streaks of losses as well as losing years. It’s an equivocal indicator of honesty. If a service in sports has a couple of losing seasons however, they also have several winning seasons on their resume this could be worth considering (provided they don’t have any other warning signs). In other words, you should be more likely to believe the handicapper or sports agency which admits to having bad winning streaks or losing years.

Different Levels of Service or Clubs — Based on Inflated Pricing

This is a ruse that is used by the most fraudulent sports organizations. They offer various kinds of services for their customers based on cost. Most often, you will are likely to see “VIP” clubs and other elite offerings that are likely to provide an greater standard of service (which suggests better sports predictions however, it’s junk similar to the rest of their offerings ). If I’m relying on another’s judgment, I’m looking for his top performance always. This is particularly relevant if I’m paying to purchase details. The time frame of a subscription may be an acceptable way of categorizing customers (giving discounts to customers who buy the full season instead of just one month for instance) It is not the case that a sports player is ever going to receive second-rate services. Any service that offers separate membership groups is a fraud. Absolutely. This is the reason: it’s betting on the odds. The more clubs that a service has more chances of them will become good and create the winning records. This way the service can promote its top-performing club to potential fans (and forget about the inevitable losing records).

Beware of Hype

In Las Vegas, several dailies and radio shows on a weekly basis have sports handicappers on who are regular guest hosts. They “experts” break down games and give their picks. Although many of them are useless as in terms of value, just almost all give reliable information. The majority of handicappers appearing in the major media outlets work at providing analyses, updates on injuries and other information which can assist the viewer to make an informed decision. Even those who do not succeed in the end are able to provide valuable insights into an event that we don’t have otherwise. Therefore, I respect the people who speak their minds. But, be aware. Beware of “experts” who spend lots of time examining their collections and advertising their picks for the week ahead. YouTube.com is filled with self-promotional videos from fraudsters who are spending the majority of their time advertising to the world how good they are. Beware of these people unless you’re looking for amusement. Note: One instance of a fantastic source for daily video analysis provided by Teddy 

Any Sports Service Promoting a “Game of the …..” is a Fraud. Period. End of Story. Don’t Fall for It.

There isn’t a single sporting event so uneven that it’s worth being marketed as an “Game of the Year.” We are bombarded with this kind of advertising every day. It is a form of marketing that is targeted at suckers and saps. It is all concerned with the percentages. No game is an absolute lock. Ever. The most outrageous infraction of the “Game that is …. (whatever)” can be usually observed at the beginning of the football season. Untruthful sports handicapping firms announce”whatever” as their “Game of the Year,” often in the early part of September! How can a company know there’s no better betting opportunity during the later part of the year, for example, November, October, or December? There’s a reason behind this, and it’s a clear indicator of dishonesty. Scammers are aware that the majority of which will eventually be lost from week to week. Therefore, they promote early-season games in order to profit from the apathy and despair. Also, you will see hoaxers advertise multiple “Games of the Year.” If you’ve ever seen anything similar to “Game of the Century” advertised (yes this is typical) the service is a fraud 100% of the times. These aren’t reliable handicappers. They’re clowns.

Touting Parlays

Parlays are traps in the bottom of the barrel who are consistently losing and looking to climb out of their financial rut. Certain handicapping services for sports are so deplorable that they target the most vulnerable who believe in the fairytale of parlays. In reality, it’s difficult enough to choose more winners than losers in the long term and even make more than two picks with a single ticket. However, we frequently witness “side and total” parlays promoted for the biggest games, including the most lucrative fleecing game for the industry of sports handicapping and that’s Tuesday Night Football. Certain services even advertise parlays with three or four teams. This is a travesty. It’s considered a crime. I’ve put up about 100,000 bets on sports in my lifetime, and I can easily count the total amount of parlays I’ve placed bets on (all were weather-related -for instance, when a hurricane struck Florida in the past and I bet on a number of games across the region that were canceled because of the high winds and rain). Parlays are only for those who lose. It’s like crack cocaine for betting on sports.

Heavy Focus on High-Profile Sports such as Monday Night Football or the Playoffs

It’s worth it when we have reliable data that’s not well-known or incorporated into the equation (yet) this is more prevalent for propositions like the amount of yards the running back is likely to gain. There’s also some benefit to second-half (halftime) betting. The more unusual the bet (betting on obscure players, quarters, etc.) the greater the chance that the odds could be wrong because it’s difficult to accurately calibrate each proposition in every game with absolute precision. It’s amazing how few handicapping companies for sports give the proposition of quarters and first-half-hours, and so on. They concentrate only on the numbers they believe are almost unbeatable , including both sides as well as totals. There’s a reason behind this: Sports want to bet on something that they are familiar with and easily follow. Most Persons don’t are willing to think about the possibility of a series of injuries on the offensive line that could result in more sacks. In these situations betting on the total number of sacks is better instead of betting on the side. There aren’t many services that focus on these possibilities. In the same way, sports companies which always offer tips on the most well-known games don’t do their patrons any favors. Bets are less likely to be located in an Arkansas State-Louisiana Lafayette game that virtually no one really cares about than the Green Bay game. Seriously, do you think that a handicapping company is aware of anything unique about an event that’s expected to be seen by 50 million viewers?

 

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